For the weekend of January 16-19, “American Sniper” debuted with $107 mil., followed by “Paddington,” also debuting, at $25.5 mil. “The Wedding Ringer” earned $24.0 mil. “Taken 3” took in $17.1, and “Selma” rounded out the top five box office winners with $13.9 mi. Source: Rentrak Corp. 1/20/15.

Satellite-Cable-Telco Subscribers
Company/Industry 2009 2010 2011 2012 1 yr. 3 yr.
(millions of subs)         Sub. Change
Comcast 23.559 22.790 22.331 21.995 -336 k -1,564 k
DirecTV 18.125 18.837 19.532 19.764 232 k 1,639 k
Dish 14.100 14.133 13.967 14.056 89 k -44 k
Time Warner Cable 12.859 12.422 12.061 12.218 157 k -641 k
Cox 6.200 6.150 6.090 6.000 -90 k -200 k
AT&T 2.500 3.373 4.144 4.856 712 k 2,356 k
Verizon 2.750 3.472 4.173 4.726 553 k 1,976 k
Charter Cable 4.824 4.520 4.314 4.158 -156 k -666 k
Cablevision 3.063 3.314 3.250 3.197 -53 k 134 k
Totals 87.980 89.011 89.862 90.970 1,108 k 2,990 k
Cable TV (5 MSOs) 50.505 49.196 48.046 47.568 -478 k -2,937 k
Satellite 32.225 32.970 33.499 33.820 321 k 1,595 k
Telco 5.250 6.845 8.317 9.582 1,265 k 4,332 k

Is Cord-Cutting A Myth? Do The Math!

By Paul Kagan - April 23, 2013

The popular image of "cord-cutting" - movement of interest from cable TV to online viewing--has been misread from the beginning. Reports of cable TV subscriber losses miss the fact that satellite and telephone companies built their own "cords." So, despite the advent of Netflix, Hulu, YouTube and other online providers, over the last three years (2010-2012) cable, satellite & phone operators - each of them "cords" with monthly contract fees - added a total of 3 mil. net new subscribers (see table above).

Concerns that a shift from TV to the internet have put incumbent carriers on a downward - perhaps fatal - path are way over the top (pun intended). Print critics in newspapers, magazines and online (veteran cynics of wired TV) have conjured a mass movement to online video, an opinion that helps them promote their own ventures.

As the table above shows, the nine largest "cords" (cable, satellite and telephone providers) - had 91 mil. subscribers at year-end 2012, up 3 mil. from 2009, when cord-jumping fever settled in. The biggest gainers on the list were AT&T (+2.36 mil.), Verizon (+1.98 mil.) and DirecTV (+1.64 mil.). And in 2012 alone, the big telcos added 1.265 mil. subs, Satellite gained only 321K and cable gave up 478K. (Note: for this analysis, I used data from only the five largest cable MSOs. But research indicates similar percentage performance deeper into the list.

The data above are not my estimates; they were reported by the companies. It's clear that, despite populist fears of cord-cutting, the nine largest video distributors signed a net new 3 mil. subscribers over the last three years while pundits accused them of losing audience to internet video newcomers. The new online networks surely are building their own followings, but they have a long way to go to be full competitors.

One of the biggest obstacles for the newbies is their own chronology. People aged 20-35 today - the primary cord-cutters--will lead different lives as they mature, when work and family responsibilities will have greatly changed. The economics of time and taste will find big screens on walls everywhere, and family viewing may well have a renaissance. Indeed, Google Fiber - for one - is counting on it. The search giant is planning to overbuild the nation with a gigabyte network designed to compete head-on with its cable/telco predecessors, while bowing to the needs of this generation's heavy downloaders.

Google clearly got the idea from the original cable guys, whose revenue comes primarily from video content but whose profit depends largely on similar access to the internet. Let the upgrading begin.




© 2014 PK Worldmedia, Inc.   All rights reserved.

Stocks Make Modest Gains, Buoyed By Energy Shares

 

By Catherine Hertzberg 
- January 26, 2015
 

  Stocks eked out slim gains on gains in energy shares. OPEC announced oil prices may have bottomed out and could begin to rise soon. The Dow edged up 6 pts., closing at 17,679. The S&P 500 rose 5 pts. to 2,057.

   Take-Two Interactive reached an all-time high of $30.71 before closing up 2% in light trading. Credit Suisse raised its price target on the stock from $24 to $31. It expects TTWO to report adjusted Q3 EPS of $1.43 on February 3.

   Video Gaming, up 5% YTD, is at an all-time high of 14.71.

   Smith Micro Software added 5% in heavy trading after regaining compliance with NASDAQ listing requirements.

  Graham Holding Co. rose 3% on news it will increase its quarterly dividend 10 cents to $2.65.

 

 Indices  1/23  1/26  %YTD 
 Home Video 240.65 245.68 22.8 
 Towers 355.30 360.13 7.2 
 Digital Life 530.80 528.83 5.2 
 Publishing 95.43 98.07 5.2 
 Video Gaming 14.65 14.71 5.0 
 DJ Utilities 647.78 648.12 4.9 
 Movie Theaters 14.59 14.81 4.5 
 Advertising 100.90 101.39 2.9 
 Fiber Optics 2.89 2.91 2.8 
 Global Wireless 76.07 76.01 2.0 
 3D 34.45 34.95 1.5 
 Wireless Prov. 26.76 27.12 1.3 
 NASDAQ 100 4,278.14 4,275.72 0.9 
 Consumer Elec. 89.97 90.67 0.9 
 NASDAQ 4,757.88 4,771.76 0.8 
 Internet Content 61.20 60.97 0.6 
 Wireless Tech. 12.63 12.69 0.5 
 Social Media 121.04 119.75 0.0 
 S&P 500 2,051.82 2,057.09 (0.1) 
 Russell 2000 1,188.93 1,200.74 (0.3) 
 Broadband Tech. 21.11 21.14 (0.6) 
 Satellite TV 78.61 78.47 (0.6) 
 Dow Jones Avg. 17,672.60 17,678.70 (0.8) 
 Telco 40.35 40.28 (0.8) 
 Radio 15.77 15.87 (1.1) 
 Interactive TV 18.58 18.41 (1.3) 
 Television 107.71 108.00 (1.6) 
 Internet Media 116.51 116.30 (2.8) 
 Cable MSO 69.12 69.01 (4.5) 
 Motion Pictures 36.32 36.60 (4.6) 
 Global Cable 127.54 129.23 (5.0) 
 Satellite Networks 47.01 47.32 (6.3) 
 © 2014 PK Worldmedia, Inc. All rights reserved.